October 23, 2017

Beyoncé vs. Adele: Who Will Reign at the Grammys?

Sunday’s 59th Annual Grammy Awards Will Be a Showdown Between Beyoncé and Adele.  Here are my Grammys 2017 Predictions: The Year the Women Ruled Music!

Listen to the Shrink Tank podcast discuss and debate the Grammys HERE

This year’s Grammys is shaping up to be weird showdown between two of music’s most talented and important artists.  Adele and Beyoncé faceoff each other in most of the major categories, including Album of the Year, Record of the Year, Song of the Year, and Pop Performance.  The oddity of the showdown lies in the fact that Adele’s 25 was actually released in 2015, but came out too late for the 2016 Grammy consideration.  Expect a back-and-forth battle between the two ladies, but fear not, pundits are predicting neither will walk away emptyhanded.

Here are my predictions.

Album of the Year
  • 25, Adele (read Jonathan’s full album review here)
  • Lemonade, Beyoncé
  • Purpose, Justin Bieber
  • Views, Drake
  • A Sailor’s Guide to Earth, Sturgill Simpson

Who will Win:

On paper, Lemonade feels like a slam dunk.  It’s a proper album that holds together from beginning to end.  Lemonade proudly celebrates her gender and race in a time where those issues are being debated on the national level.  And finally, most pundits believe she was recently robbed back in 2014 when Beck’s Morning Phase took Album of the Year.  She’s the odds-on favorite.

However, there is fear that Beyoncé and Adele will split the pop vote and Sturgill Simpson will swoop in and take the award.  It’s also conceivable that Adele’s 25 will pull off a minor upset and flat out beat Beyoncé.  25 has more unforgettable songs but isn’t as much of a cohesive album (or statement) as Lemonade.   WINNERLemonade, Beyoncé

Vote who you think will win Album of the Year HERE
Record of the Year
  • Adele, “Hello”
  • Beyoncé, “Formation”
  • Lukas Graham, “7 years”
  • Rihanna feat. Drake, “Work”
  • Twenty One Pilots, “Stressed Out”

Who will Win:

“Hello” is one of the most iconic and instantly memorable songs this century.  It’s classic Adele, hugely popular on the commercial level, and the type of song that the Grammys are known to champion.  “Hello” also a great all-around tune.  WINNER:  “Hello” Adele

Song of the Year
  • Beyoncé, “Formation”
  • Adele, “Hello”
  • Mike Posner, “I Took a Pill in Ibiza”
  • Justin Bieber, “Love Yourself”
  • Lukas Graham, “7 Years”

Who Will Win:

This category honors the song as written, rather than the recording we know it by. It is also where the songwriter is celebrated, something that hurts Beyoncé’s chances. “Formation’s” four songwriters implies a collaborative creation that often isn’t celebrated in this category.  WINNER:  “Hello” Adele

Best New Artist
  • Kelsea Ballerini
  • Chance the Rapper
  • Maren Morris
  • The Chainsmokers
  • Anderson .Paak

Who Will Win:

This is one category where the strong showdown isn’t between Beyoncé and Adele.  Chance the Rapper has all the critical love and six additional nominations to show for it.  But The Chainsmokers have the hits; four-times platinum, No. 1 hit “Closer” with Halsey comes after the platinum hit “#Selfie” in 2014 and triple-platinum “Roses” in 2015.  Of course, given that they’ve had platinum hits since 2014 makes their nomination a headscratcher that the Grammys are known for in this category.  Still, expect the high regard with which Chance the Rapper holds in the industry to carry him to this win.  WINNER:  Chance the Rapper

Best Pop Solo Performance
  • Adele, “Hello”
  • Beyoncé, “Hold Up”
  • Justin Bieber, “Love Yourself”
  • Kelly Clarkson, “Piece by Piece” (IdolVersion)
  • Ariana Grande, “Dangerous Woman”

Who Will Win:

Again, look for Adele to sweep any category where “Hello” is specifically nominated.  WINNER:  “Hello” Adele

Best Pop Vocal Album
  • 25, Adele
  • Purpose, Justin Bieber
  • Dangerous Woman, Ariana Grande
  • Confident, Demi Lovato
  • This Is Acting, Sia

Who Will Win:

There is the possibility that Adele will lose out to Beyoncé in several categories where they face off.  But a category with no competition from Bey?  Bank on Adele!  WINNER25, Adele

Other Predictions:

I predict that David Bowie will receive a lot of posthumous love, winning Rock Performance, Rock Song, and Alternative Album for “Blackstar”.  Also, look for Rihanna to pick up some awards in the R&B categories, winning for R&B Performance (“Needed Me”) and R&B Song (“Kiss It Better”).  Beyoncé will pick up some love in Urban Contemporary Album along with Best Music Video and Best Music Film.

Drake should expect to be on stage receiving awards for Best Rap Song (“Hotline Bling”), Rap Album (“Views”), and Rap Performance with “Pop Style” feat. Jay Z & Kanye West.  However, Chance the Rapper’s “No Problem” feat. Lil Wayne & 2 Chainz may take the latter category, which could result in a quiet and sparse night for Kanye West. “The Life of Pablo” rapper received eight nominations, but he’s not favored in any of his categories.  Will he storm the stage if he loses?  Better question, what’s he going to do if Beyoncé continuously plays second fiddle to Adele?

Finally, expect Mareen Morris’s “My Church” to win for Country Solo Performance and Country Song, with the Country Duo/Group Performance to reward Pentatonix and Dolly Parton for their rousing rendition of “Jolene.”  And if Sturgill Simpson doesn’t pull off the upset of the night, stealing Album of the Year away from Beyoncé or Adele, look for his “A Sailor’s Guide to Earth” to receive its due winning Best Country Album.

Beyoncé vs. Adele: Who Will Reign at the Grammys?

At the end of the night, I expect Adele to win four out of the five categories she is nominated in, with Beyoncé taking home the same number of wins (four) out of the nine categories she’s nominated in.  However, Beyoncé will win the night’s biggest award, Album of the Year, solidifying that it was the year Beyoncé ruled!

The 59th Grammy Awards are handed out Sunday at Staples Center in Los Angeles and can be watched live on CBS, 8 ET/5 PT.
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Jonathan Hetterly, LPC

Jonathan Hetterly is a therapist, writer, and pop culture addict. He’s also a contributor to The Shrink Tank podcast. Follow him at @jhetterly and @shrink_tank.

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